Lions shock Packers, Patriots beat Colts

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NFL Week 9 ATS Picks: Lions shock Packers, Patriots beat Colts originally appeared on NBC Sports Chicago

The NFL Week 8 schedule was horrible. Only one match featured two teams with winning records and the quality of football was pretty poor.

Week 9 should provide more compelling action.

There are some really good matchups, including two division chiefs going head-to-head when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans on “Sunday Night Football.” The Los Angeles Rams will visit Tom Brady’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an NFC playoff rematch. The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets will face off in a showdown between the two best teams in the AFC East (at least according to records).

What can we expect from this week’s slate?

Here are our best ATS bets for Week 9 matches. All tee times listed are ET. All betting lines via DraftKings Sportsbook.

Time/TV channel: Thursday, Nov. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime

More less: 45

The Eagles are still the only undefeated team in the league at 7-0, and it’s hard to predict the Texans will end that run. Houston has the league’s second-worst 1-5-1 record and fourth-fewest points (16.6) per game.

So we know the Texans are a bad football team, but are they losing by 14 or more?

The short answer is yes, and it’s mostly because of the Eagles. Philly ranks 3rd in points scored and total yards per game. The Eagles’ rushing offense is averaging 149.5 yards per game, and that success looks set to continue against a Texans run defense that was destroyed by Josh Jacobs and Derrick Henry in back-to-back losses to the Raiders and Titans. . Houston is giving up the most rushing yards per game (186) of any NFL defense.

The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games and have won five of their last six road meetings. Anything can happen in a short week, but the Eagles should have little trouble dominating a vastly inferior Texas team.

Take: Eagles -13.5

Time/TV Channel: Sunday, Nov. 6 at 1 p.m. ET on FOX

More less: 49.5

Aaron Rodgers is 3-5 for the first time in his career, and if he and the Packers can’t beat the Lions 1-6, then it’s time to sound the alarm bells in Green Bay.

And yet, there’s not much reason to think the Packers will definitely cover that gap. They’re 1-4 ATS in their last five games and a mediocre 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Lions. Detroit played much better than expected in Week 8 in a 31-27 loss to a strong Miami Dolphins team. The Packers are also 2-6 in their last eight road games and 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings at Ford Field.

The Lions aren’t a good team, obviously, but they’ve been competitive in most of their losses. Four of their six losses have come by four runs or less. The Packers will likely win this game, but the Lions can certainly cover 3.5 points. Detroit’s offense ranks 9th in points scored per game, 4th in total yards and 3rd in red-zone efficiency.

Take: Leos +3.5

Buffalo Bills (-11.5) at the New York Jets

Time/TV Channel: Sunday, Nov. 6 at 1 p.m. ET on CBS

More less: 46.5

Jets quarterback Zach Wilson played terribly last week in a 22-17 loss to the Patriots at home. He threw three costly interceptions and completed just 48.8% of his passes (20 of 41). Wilson will likely have even more problems against a Bills defense that is arguably the best in the league.

Buffalo’s defense ranks No. 3 in yards allowed and No. 1 in points allowed per game. This unit also leads the league with 11 interceptions and ranks 7th in sacks. The Bills’ offense isn’t too shabby either, led by quarterback and MVP candidate Josh Allen. Buffalo’s 29 points per game is second in the league.

The Bills are also 4-2 ATS in their last six games against the Jets and haven’t lost to New York since Dec. 29, 2019. Buffalo looks set to build on that momentum with another two-game win. figures on Sunday to maintain their position at the top of the AFC. Eastern classification.

Take: Invoices -11.5

Time/TV Channel: Sunday, Nov. 6 at 1 p.m. ET on CBS

More less: 40

The Colts are a mess. They fired their offensive coordinator earlier this week and replaced veteran quarterback Matt Ryan in favor of 2021 sixth-round pick Sam Ehlinger. Patriots head coach Bill Belichick has had plenty of rookie and second-year QBs in his career, and Ehlinger will likely be the next victim.

The Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and have lost eight of their last nine against the Patriots. Indy hasn’t won at Foxboro since 2006.

The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and their defense has forced the most turnovers in the league with 16. It’s hard to imagine Ehlinger walking into Gillette Stadium and playing well against a defense trained by Belichick.

Take: Patriots -5.5

How to watch the Colts vs. the Patriots

Free streaming option: FuboTV (free trial)

Direct: NFL+, Paramount+

Mobile app: NFL mobile app, Paramount+ app

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